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2025 Prediction and Analysis of Refugee Crisis News using NLP

The refugee problem is one of the most important issues worldwide which has gained tremendous media attention that has influenced public opinion in relation to displaced populations. This study investigates the application of natural language processing (NLP) to predict and analyze news articles on the refugee crisis. The refugee crisis remains an urgent humanitarian issue with over 117 million forcibly displaced people by the end of 2024. This study aims to develop an automated system to predict and analyze news articles on the refugee crisis using NLP techniques to gain better insights into migration patterns and highlight key areas for consideration. Mass migration and asylum-seeking pose major challenges for host country authorities, non-governmental organizations (NGOs) and international humanitarian organizations trying to solve the problems associated with the refugee crisis. Using news datasets from sources such as The Guardian and Kaggle, the study refined over 55,000 general category news articles to extract 6344 refugee-related articles by fine-tuning a Large Language Model (LLM), “Mistral 7b v0.3”. This study addresses existing gaps in AI applications by employing LLM to predict key themes, detect bias, and analyze media narratives on the refugee crisis. The methodology follows the CRISP-DM framework and uses pre-processing, prediction and visualization techniques. The results of this study include highlighting key refugee issues such as health, shelter, nutrition, security and women’s issues. In addition, it identifies potential gaps in the treatment of disadvantaged groups such as LGBTQ+ and disabled people. The study shows that, LLM outperforms traditional keyword searches, as three times more relevant articles were extracted through LLM. The findings of this study give significant details to strategy makers and NGOs to make more informed decisions on these important issues. Limitations, such as resource compatibility and dataset availability, affect the overall results yet the study highlights the potential of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in addressing the complexity of global crises and provides a foundation for future work in multilingual and multimedia analysis.

International Conference on Advanced Technologies, Computer Engineering and Science
ICATCES

Ahmed Asif Jagdev Bhogal

101 696
Subject Area: Computer Science Broadcast Area: International Type: Article Language: English