Creating of Probability Maps of Earthquake Occurrences Using Kriging Method With the Geographic Information Systems (GIS): Estimates for 3 Section of the NAFZ (Western, Central, Eastern)-Part 2
AbstractIn this study, we created probability maps of earthquake occurrences using Kriging method from Geostatistical techniques with the Geographic Information Systems (GIS) in the NAFZ (western, central, eastern). Geostatistical techniques had both the capability of producing a prediction surface and provide some measure of the certainty or accuracy of the predictions. Kriging method depended on mathematical and statistical models. Kriging was an interpolation that can be exact or smoothed depending on the measurement error model. Kriging used for statistical models that allow a variety of output surfaces including probability. We used an instrumental catalog for Ms≥4.0 magnitude between 1900-2017 period. Additionally, Kriging method fitted a mathematical function to a specified number of earthquakes or all earthquakes within a specified radius, to determine the output value for each region. We have used